The Oil Market's Wild Ride
The Oil Market's Wild Ride
Since oil prices have risen dramatically in recent years, a popular mythology has developed around the oil markets. Some people believe that the rising prices are caused by the oil firms, whose mission it is to get the ingredients needed to create petroleum products, such as gasoline for cars. The general population finds it easy to place the responsibility on corporations.
Those who work on the inside of the oil industry are aware of the fact that it is quite cyclical. This proves that the age-old saying "whatever goes up must come down" is certainly true in the global and domestic oil markets.
The present high prices are caused more by issues with refineries and supply as a result of Middle Eastern tensions than by the profit goals of the oil companies involved. To be more accurate, oil firms are just as, if not more, affected by massive changes in supply and demand than the ordinary customer is when it comes to economic planning for the future.
The oil industry has previously experienced massive profit and return spikes, and this gas price increase is just the latest example. Furthermore, anyone with even a passing familiarity with the oil industry for more than a few decades will tell you with certainty that the present highly profitable economy, which is immensely benefiting oil firms, will eventually reverse course. When refineries are temporarily closed for repairs or maintenance, there is a scarcity. However, when all refineries are running at full capacity, there will be an excess of supply, and prices will fall.
Similarly, oil supplies can change drastically, much like how oil shortages are dominating the market and customers' attention due to tensions in the Middle East. Gas prices around the world can take a nosedive if a rapid influx of supplies from fresh discoveries in Asia, the Soviet Union, Europe, South America, or even offshore in the United States causes crude oil prices to skyrocket.
The big oil firms, who are the ones most affected by random shifts in supply and demand, have been studying this tendency for a long time and have come to the conclusion that it is not just wishful thinking.
Even though oil prices are high and supply is above demand, the industry is already planning for the next downturn, when it will have to make significant changes to its operations to survive. This is nothing new for the oil industry; it is accustomed to the ups and downs of the market.
It is prudent to diversify one's holdings when dealing with highly unpredictable markets, such as the oil industry, as any astute company manager or investor would tell you. As a result, it has been fundamental to the tactics that have allowed oil corporations to weather the industry's cyclical fluctuations in profitability, demand, and supply.
Even though the oil business is currently experiencing unparalleled success, it will eventually suffer a decline in revenues. Until then, it will have to prepare for a downturn of unknown duration and ride it out.
At this very moment, every major oil corporation on the globe is already pouring a lot of money into varied business interests. This is so they can weather the inevitable downturn in oil income. Those investments will span the stock market, real estate, and even completely unconnected fields like retail and entertainment. Companies are better able to weather the volatile oil market if they diversify their revenue streams.
Also, investors in the oil sector may take heart from this cunning economic move. Companies that are now adding value to our portfolios are solid investments, but we should diversify now since we know a slump is on the way. Then, like the firms whose fate is dependent on the oil market, we will be able to weather the next downturn in oil prices with relative ease.
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